Posts Tagged ‘TJ Dillashaw’

Ultimate Fight Night 81 Betting Results

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Betting Results

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

Wow what a great event for us. We had a total of 5 bets with 4 being straight up bets and one parlay. We had a great feeling about a lot of the underdogs, and man did they perform. We ended up with a ROI of +100.46%. That was just slightly more than doubling our money we bet. Not bad.  You can see our results at Cappertek.  Also note that all of January we are making our bets free, but come February, we will be putting most of them behind the paywall at Cappertek.  With a ROI of 100% on this event, it would be well worth the $6.95 for a single days access to get our picks.

So just how did the bets pan out? Our first bet was our 2 fight parlay with Rob Font and Ben Saunders both needing to be victorious. Saunders wound up on the wrong side of Cote’s heavy hands and went down in the second round. We had thought that Saunders’s reach was going to be a big factor, but Cote was able to nullify that. Font did win his portion of the parlay with a TKO victory over Joey Gomez, but this shows exactly why we typically don’t do parlay bets. We bet and lost 1 unit on this parlay.

The rest of our bets were on the main card. Travis Browne was our lone betting favorite on the night. After accidentally poking Mitrione twice in the eye, Browne landed a punch flush to the orbital socket of Mitrione. Mitrione’s eye swelled up very quickly and Browne capitalized on his hurt opponent scoring the TKO victory late in the third round. We bet 1.5 units on Browne at -150 odds for a ROI of 1 unit.

Francisco Trinaldo outworked Ross Pearson throughout most of the fight. The rounds were close, but Trinaldo was landing more and when the judges’s score cards were read there was no doubt we had won our bet. We bet 1 unit on Trinaldo with odds of +130 to profit 1.3 units.

The fight that scared us the most was Anthony Pettis taking on Eddie Alvarez. The blueprint was found on how to beat Pettis, grind him against the cage and go for takedown after takedown. This has now been proven true in three fights with Guida and dos Anjos also besting Pettis using the same methods. Alvarez had the game plan and stuck to it. The first round was very hard to judge and the final two were split between them. We thought Alvarez did enough in that first round to warrant a 29-28 scorecard and two judges agreed. We bet 1 unit at +275 to earn 2.75 units of profit.

The main event featured Domick Cruz fighting for a title he never truly lost against TJ Dillashaw. We had Cruz favored in this fight at +120 and risked 2 units on him. Cruz and Dillashaw both tried to use their footwork to outland their opponent with Dillashaw being the more aggressive fighter. But Cruz had zero fear in the cage and was just moving enough to get out of the way of most of Dillashaw’s strikes. Cruz while throwing fewer punches was landing far more. We had the fight 49-46 for Cruz and two judges agreed that Cruz won the fight. The split decision victory netted us 2.4 units.

The next card will be UFC on Fox 18. Look for our betting advice to come out shortly after the full fight odds to maximize our best bets.

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

Ultimate Fight Night 81 Betting Advice

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Betting Advice

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

Alright folks, let’s talk about UFN 81: Dillashaw vs Cruz and the betting lines. As always, this is just advice and no way should you hold myself or MMARecap responsible if these bets fail to pan out. You can of course see our track record over at Cappertek where as of this writing we were at +15.67% for the month of January and +13.49% overall. For the rest of the month of January all of our picks will be free, but come February there will only be one free pick given and the rest will be behind the paywall at Cappertek.

Our first bet of the night is going to be a two team parlay. The first leg is Rob Font defeating Joey Gomez and the second leg is Ben Saunders defeating Patrick Cote. Both fighters have looked great in the UFC and while normally we don’t advise on parlays, in this case the payout is worth it. Font is sitting at -230 and Saunders is at -135. The parlay of the two gives us odds of +149 and we are betting a single unit on this two fight parlay.

Our lone favorite to win in our straight bets is Travis Browne taking on Matt Mitrione. Mitrione has been hit or miss and Browne has shown he is a beast inside the cage. Mitrione has a very ho-hum attitude going into this fight and normally that would read as a good thing. However due to other events that have happened, we are thinking Mitrione might be walking away from the sport after this fight win or lose and thus his head isn’t in the right place. We bet 1.5 units on Browne at -147 to win 1.02 units.

This card is ripe with underdogs who for one reason or another are being overlooked by the betting public. Francisco Trinaldo is one our favorite bets at +130 over Ross Pearson. Pearson is 3-3 in his last 6 while Trinaldo is 5-1 in his last 6. We are betting a single unit to win 1.3 units.

Due to the fact that Anthony Pettis is the former champ and was the first to finish Ben Henderson, the odds are crazy in his favor. This is great for us as Eddie Alvarez is sitting at +275. While Alvarez is the older fighter, he is also the fresher fighter having last fought in June compared to Pettis who will have been out for a staggering 309 days. Additionally, due to this only being three rounds, we have to give the advantage to Alvarez. This bet will pay out a great 2.75 units on our 1 unit bet.

Our last bet of the night is former champ Dominick Cruz defeating current champ T.J. Dillashaw. We were able to get odds of +123 for Cruz and they have been swinging in either direction all week. Cruz never officially lost his belt, rather was stripped due to injury after injury. Cruz took the time away from training to focus on fight analyzing which made his game even better. The only disadvantage we have for Cruz is his lengthly time away from the cage, but that is negated by all of the other stuff going on with Dillashaw and switching camps. We are betting 2 units on Cruz to win 2.46 units.

RecapRadio: Morning Commute 10-02-2012

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in RecapRadio

Stephan Bonnar - via UFC.com

Stephan Bonnar – via UFC.com

Today’s morning commute has a bit of everything.  Forrest Griffin admitting he failed a drug test, Rashad Evans turning down a fight, Dave Batista gets a new opponent, Stephan Bonnar is about to have a son and more.  Give it a listen either in the player below or download it to your phone.