Posts Tagged ‘Robbie Lawler’

UFC 195 Poster

UFC 195 Betting Results

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Betting Results

The first fight of 2016 is in the books. We made nine bets on the card and went 5-4 but were profitable by 2.82 units or a ROI of 15.67%. The night of action was headlined by Robbie Lawler defending his belt against Carlos Condit. Let’s get onto our results.

First up we will tackle our losing bets. Drew Dober defeated Scott Holtzman via unanimous decision. By our model, Dober should have been outclassed by Holtzman’s takedowns, but it was Dober who surprised many with his take downs of Holtzman. We had a single unit bet on Holtzman and of course lost that unit.

We then had Kyle Noke taking on late notice replacement Alex Morono. Statistically speaking, short notice UFC debut fighters lose a lot more than they win. It is why Noke was a near 3 to 1 favorite over Morono and we bet 1.5 units on Noke to win. A close split decision loss for Noke and for us.

Abel Trujillo surprised everyone with his quick finish of Tony Sims. Stylistically Sims was the younger, faster fighter, but Trujillo got a much needed win but we lost 1.5 units on this fight.

Our last loss on the night was Andrei Arlovski. While the “old” Arlovski was not favored at all in this fight, his resurgence since returning the UFC warranted him a closer look. Miicic however was absolutely dominant in his quick 54 second KO of Arlovski. With Arlovsky’s underdog status, we felt it was only appropriate to bet a single unit on him.

In all, the four fights we lost we bet a total of 5 units.

The winning fights were just as exciting. Our first win of the night was Justine Kish making her UFC debut against Nina Ansaroff. The fight was a lot closer than the 30-27×2 scorecard would have you believe. Wish was a highly touted prospect and was the odds on favorite at -235. We bet 2 units on her to win .85 units.

The biggest favorite of the night was Michael McDonald taking on Masanori Kanehara. McDonald was a huge -535 and looked like he was going to lose the fight to Kanehara multiple times. In the first round McDonald was trapped in a guillotine choke and in the second an arm triangle choke. He was able to escape the arm triangle and quickly took Kanehara’s back and sunk in a fight winning rear naked choke. We bet 2 units on him to win .37 units.

Brian Ortega had a very slow start against the very dangerous Diego Brandao. Brandao like Trujillo earlier needed a win and showed up to fight. Ortega was extremely patient and down on the score cards had one of the best jiu jitsu transitions ever seen inside the octagon eventually ending up with a fight ending triangle choke that force Brandao to tap. We bet 2 units on Ortega to win 1.09.

Joe Rogan’s most anticipated fight was between Albert Tumenov and Lorenz Larkin. Larkin punished Tumenov’s legs with leg kick after leg kick. Tumenov still pressed forward in the action and the fight was razor thin close but Tumenov was able to escape with the split decision victory and our 2 unit bet at -253 netted us .79 units.

The main event was expected to see fireworks and it delivered. While not as crazy as Lawler’s previous title defense, Condit showed up. Condit outstruck Lawler in the fight and many had him winning. It all came down to a very close third round and two judges saw it for Lawler, while one saw it for Condit. We expect the fight to be a blood bath with Lawler winning and we bet big on Lawler. Our 5 unit bet at -106 returned us 4.72 units.

In all we bet 18 units and walked away with 20.82 or a profit of 2.82 units. While not the greatest results we’ve had, any time we are profitable it is a good thing. Please take a look at our Cappertek results where you can find our picks. We will soon be putting our picks behind a paywall, but for now, they are free for everyone to see.

Next card is UFC Fight Night 81, where we will be looking at as many as 9 bets on that card.

Strikeforce: Rockhold vs. Kennedy Results

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Results

Strikeforce: Rockhold vs. Kennedy took place Saturday night in Portland, Oregon and featured two championship fights that both went five rounds. In the main event it was Luke Rockhold who defeated Tim Kennedy by unanimous decision in an exciting fight. Although Rockhold was able to win four out of the five rounds, Kennedy came to fight and he didn’t make it easy for Luke. It was the size and timing of Rockhold which enabled him to win the rounds he did. In the co-main event, it was Nate Marquardt and Tyrone Woodley who fought for the vacant welterweight title. The fight was a back and forth affair until the fourth round when Marquardt landed a viscous over hand elbow that put Woodley out on his feet. Marquardt landed twomore shots before Woodley crumpled to the mat, and the ref stepped in. Marquardt looked like he hadn’t missed a step despite the 18 month lay off, and he walked out of the Strikeforce cage wearing the belt that Nick DIaz left behind when he left for the UFC. Below are the full results for the card.

Main card (Showtime)

Middleweight Championship bout:
Luke Rockhold (c) vs.  Tim Kennedy
Luke Rockhold defeats Tim Kennedy (49-46×3)

Welterweight Championship bout:
Nate Marquardt vs.  Tyron Woodley
Nate Marquardt defeats Tyron Woodley by knockout (strikes) at 1:37 of round 4

Middleweight bout:
Robbie Lawler vs.  Lorenz Larkin
Lorenz Larkin  defeats Robbie Lawler by unanimous decision (30-27×3)

Middleweight bout:
Keith Jardine vs.  Roger Gracie
Roger Gracie defeats Keith Jardine by unanimous decision (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Preliminary card

Lightweight bout:
Pat Healy vs.  Mizuto Hirota
Pat Healy defeats  Mizuto Hirota by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Lightweight bout:
Jorge Masvidal vs.  Justin Wilcox
Jorge Masvidal defeats Justin Wilcox by split decision (29-28, 28-29,30-27)

Lightweight bout:
Ryan Couture vs.  Joe Duarte
Ryan Couture defeats Joe Duarte by split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Welterweight bout:
Jordan Mein vs.  Tyler Stinson
Jordan Mein defeats Tyler Stinson via unanimous decision (30-27×3)

Welterweight bout:
Jason High vs.  Nate Moore
Jason High defeats Nate Moore by submission (guillotine choke) at :26 of round 1