Posts Tagged ‘Patrick Cote’

Ultimate Fight Night 81 Betting Results

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Betting Results

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

Wow what a great event for us. We had a total of 5 bets with 4 being straight up bets and one parlay. We had a great feeling about a lot of the underdogs, and man did they perform. We ended up with a ROI of +100.46%. That was just slightly more than doubling our money we bet. Not bad.  You can see our results at Cappertek.  Also note that all of January we are making our bets free, but come February, we will be putting most of them behind the paywall at Cappertek.  With a ROI of 100% on this event, it would be well worth the $6.95 for a single days access to get our picks.

So just how did the bets pan out? Our first bet was our 2 fight parlay with Rob Font and Ben Saunders both needing to be victorious. Saunders wound up on the wrong side of Cote’s heavy hands and went down in the second round. We had thought that Saunders’s reach was going to be a big factor, but Cote was able to nullify that. Font did win his portion of the parlay with a TKO victory over Joey Gomez, but this shows exactly why we typically don’t do parlay bets. We bet and lost 1 unit on this parlay.

The rest of our bets were on the main card. Travis Browne was our lone betting favorite on the night. After accidentally poking Mitrione twice in the eye, Browne landed a punch flush to the orbital socket of Mitrione. Mitrione’s eye swelled up very quickly and Browne capitalized on his hurt opponent scoring the TKO victory late in the third round. We bet 1.5 units on Browne at -150 odds for a ROI of 1 unit.

Francisco Trinaldo outworked Ross Pearson throughout most of the fight. The rounds were close, but Trinaldo was landing more and when the judges’s score cards were read there was no doubt we had won our bet. We bet 1 unit on Trinaldo with odds of +130 to profit 1.3 units.

The fight that scared us the most was Anthony Pettis taking on Eddie Alvarez. The blueprint was found on how to beat Pettis, grind him against the cage and go for takedown after takedown. This has now been proven true in three fights with Guida and dos Anjos also besting Pettis using the same methods. Alvarez had the game plan and stuck to it. The first round was very hard to judge and the final two were split between them. We thought Alvarez did enough in that first round to warrant a 29-28 scorecard and two judges agreed. We bet 1 unit at +275 to earn 2.75 units of profit.

The main event featured Domick Cruz fighting for a title he never truly lost against TJ Dillashaw. We had Cruz favored in this fight at +120 and risked 2 units on him. Cruz and Dillashaw both tried to use their footwork to outland their opponent with Dillashaw being the more aggressive fighter. But Cruz had zero fear in the cage and was just moving enough to get out of the way of most of Dillashaw’s strikes. Cruz while throwing fewer punches was landing far more. We had the fight 49-46 for Cruz and two judges agreed that Cruz won the fight. The split decision victory netted us 2.4 units.

The next card will be UFC on Fox 18. Look for our betting advice to come out shortly after the full fight odds to maximize our best bets.

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

Ultimate Fight Night 81 Betting Advice

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Betting Advice

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

UFN 81 Dillashaw vs Cruz

Alright folks, let’s talk about UFN 81: Dillashaw vs Cruz and the betting lines. As always, this is just advice and no way should you hold myself or MMARecap responsible if these bets fail to pan out. You can of course see our track record over at Cappertek where as of this writing we were at +15.67% for the month of January and +13.49% overall. For the rest of the month of January all of our picks will be free, but come February there will only be one free pick given and the rest will be behind the paywall at Cappertek.

Our first bet of the night is going to be a two team parlay. The first leg is Rob Font defeating Joey Gomez and the second leg is Ben Saunders defeating Patrick Cote. Both fighters have looked great in the UFC and while normally we don’t advise on parlays, in this case the payout is worth it. Font is sitting at -230 and Saunders is at -135. The parlay of the two gives us odds of +149 and we are betting a single unit on this two fight parlay.

Our lone favorite to win in our straight bets is Travis Browne taking on Matt Mitrione. Mitrione has been hit or miss and Browne has shown he is a beast inside the cage. Mitrione has a very ho-hum attitude going into this fight and normally that would read as a good thing. However due to other events that have happened, we are thinking Mitrione might be walking away from the sport after this fight win or lose and thus his head isn’t in the right place. We bet 1.5 units on Browne at -147 to win 1.02 units.

This card is ripe with underdogs who for one reason or another are being overlooked by the betting public. Francisco Trinaldo is one our favorite bets at +130 over Ross Pearson. Pearson is 3-3 in his last 6 while Trinaldo is 5-1 in his last 6. We are betting a single unit to win 1.3 units.

Due to the fact that Anthony Pettis is the former champ and was the first to finish Ben Henderson, the odds are crazy in his favor. This is great for us as Eddie Alvarez is sitting at +275. While Alvarez is the older fighter, he is also the fresher fighter having last fought in June compared to Pettis who will have been out for a staggering 309 days. Additionally, due to this only being three rounds, we have to give the advantage to Alvarez. This bet will pay out a great 2.75 units on our 1 unit bet.

Our last bet of the night is former champ Dominick Cruz defeating current champ T.J. Dillashaw. We were able to get odds of +123 for Cruz and they have been swinging in either direction all week. Cruz never officially lost his belt, rather was stripped due to injury after injury. Cruz took the time away from training to focus on fight analyzing which made his game even better. The only disadvantage we have for Cruz is his lengthly time away from the cage, but that is negated by all of the other stuff going on with Dillashaw and switching camps. We are betting 2 units on Cruz to win 2.46 units.

Why UFC 158 Is Welterweight Heavy

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Dissection

UFC 158 Poster

UFC 158 Poster

When it was announced that UFC 158 would be headlined by Georges St-Pierre taking on Nick Diaz, everyone was up in arms about it. Why on Earth was Diaz getting the shot against St-Pierre instead of Johny Hendricks. The answer is because St-Pierre asked for Diaz after defeating Condit and UFC president Dana White complied.

The two were supposed to fight back in October of 2011 when Diaz became one of the first fighters to be imported from Strikeforce. Unfortunately for Diaz, he missed multiple required pr appearances and White decided to give Carlos Condit the fight against St-Pierre. Diaz then fought BJ Penn in a new main event after St-Pierre had to withdraw from the Condit fight due to injury.

This lead to Diaz fighting Condit for an interim title in February of 2012 and Diaz was the good fighter who showed up to all of the press requirements. He lost a controversial decision to Condit, many citing Condit’s game plan wasn’t that of fighting. But it wasn’t an issue anyways because Diaz tested positive for marijuana and was given a suspension.

Unlike many who have been suspended for testing positive for a banned substance, Diaz decided to fight it and even took the athletic commission to court. His attempt to get his suspension shortened or even revoked completely was denied, and now we are nearing the end of his suspension.

So when one combines the amount of injuries that forced changes to cards in 2012 with Diaz’s erratic behavior, one needs to have insurance. In this case for UFC 158, it’s back up plans. Not just a plan B, but likely a plan C and a plan D are either in place, or have been thought of just in case.

The rest of the card that has been announced so far features three other welterweight fights. The co-main event has Jake Ellenberger taking on Johny Hendricks in what is probably Hendricks’s fourth number one contender fight. Keep in mind he has knocked out two of his last three opponents and is on a five fight win streak. Hendricks is likely the first person that will get called to the main event should something happen to either Diaz or St-Pierre. Ellenberger is a good second choice being that he is 5-1 over the last two years, but Hendricks no doubt will be getting the first call up.

Also on the card is a grudge match between Carlos Condit and Rory MacDonald. In MacDonald’s second UFC fight he battled Condit and was winning on all the judges’ scorecards. That was until there was seven seconds left and Condit landed a clean punch and followed it up with more forcing the ref to stop it. Since then Condit has defeated three others before ultimately fighting St-Pierre and losing. MacDonald has stated he won’t fight St-Pierre, but should something happen to the Hendricks-Ellenberger fight, it is possible that one of these two steps up to fight whoever gets left out of the title fight.

But if the UFC decides to keep the grudge match between Condit and MacDonald, another interesting welterweight battle is on the card. Strikeforce veteran Bobby Voelker is set to take on Patric Cote in his welterweight debut. Voelker who fought only on the Challengers cards for Strikeforce amassed a 4-1 record with three finishes. Cote is coming off the DQ victory over Alessio Sakara, but realized in that fight he was too small for the UFC’s middleweight division after being away for nearly two years. And like Condit-MacDonald could replace someone, Cote and Voelker would also be interesting matchups.

Given the history that transpired not only in 2012, but with Georges St-Pierre and Nick Diaz, this move is a smart one by the UFC. It ensures that there are several options should something happen and the fighters are also prepared for it as well. It will be interesting to see if the UFC decides to add another welterweight fight to the card and make the entire PPV a single weight class much like they did in 2012 with an all heavyweight main card.

UFC 148: Recap & Results

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Results

Anderson Silva Defeats Chael-Sonnen – (Photo: Mark J. Rebilas-US PRESSWIRE)

UFC 148 took place this Saturday night in Las Vegas, Nevada at the MGM grand, and the UFC delivered on what may turn out to be the biggest event in the company’s history. Over 15,000 fans filled the arena for the United States’ largest UFC box office of 7 million dollars and according to President Dana White all metrics point to this being the largest pay per view buy rate in company history.

The main event featured the biggest rematch in UFC history that pitted Champion Anderson Silva against Chael Sonnen.  The first round looked similar to the first four rounds of their first fight, but it was Anderson SIlva who figured out Sonnen’s timing and began landing strikes that rattled and dropped him in the second round. Sonnen was finished seconds later by technical knockout and Silva defended his title for the tenth time and extending his winning streak to fifteen(both UFC records.) Silva was awarded the knockout of the night bonus for the finish as well ($75k.)

In the co-main event it was the rubber match between Tito Ortiz and Forrest Griffin. The third fight looked much like their first two fights, but it was Forrest Griffin who was able to squeak out two rounds and get the unanimous decision win. The fight was also awarded the fight of the night honors($75k.) Ortiz made it official, and retired after the fight. Tito had a big day, as he was inducted into the UFC Hall of Fame earlier in the afternoon.

Main Card
Middleweight Championship Title Bout
Anderson Silva 184 lbs vs. Chael Sonnen 185 lbs
Anderson Silva defeats Chael Sonnen by Technical Knockout at 1:51 of round 2

Light Heavyweight
Forrest Griffin 204 lbs vs. Tito Ortiz 204 lbs
Forrest Griffin defeats Tito Ortiz by Unanimous Decision (29-28×3)

Middleweight
Cung Le 185 lbs vs. Patrick Côté 185 lbs
Cung Le defeats Patrick Côté by Unanimous Decision (30-27×3)

Welterweight
Dong Hyun Kim 170 lbs vs. Demian Maia 170 lbs
Demian Maia defeats Dong Hyun Kim by Technical Knockout (Strikes) at :47 of round 1

Featherweight
Chad Mendes 146 lbs vs. Cody McKenzie 145 lbs
Chad Mendes defeats Cody McKenzie by Technical Knockout (Punch to the body) at :31 of round 1

Bantamweight
Ivan Menjivar 136 lbs vs. Mike Easton 135 lbs
Mike Easton defeats Ivan Menjivar by Unanimous Decision (30-27×2, 29-28)

Preliminary Card on FX
Lightweight
Gleison Tibau 155 lbs vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov 155 lbs
Khabib Nurmagomedov defeats Gleison Tibau by Unanimous Decision (30-27×3)

Lightweight
Melvin Guillard 155 lbs vs. Fabrício Camões 156 lbs
Melvin Guillard defeats Fabrício Camões by Unanimous Decision (30-27×3)

Middleweight
Constantinos Philippou 186 lbs vs. Riki Fukuda 185 lbs
Constantinos Philippou defeats Riki Fukuda by Unanimous Decision (30-27×2, 28-28)

Lightweight
John Alessio 156 lbs vs. Shane Roller 155 lbs
Shane Roller defeats John Alessio by Unanimous Decision (29-28×3)

Preliminary Card on Facebook
Lightweight
Rafaello Oliveira  156 lbs vs. Yoislandy Izquierdo 156 lbs
Rafaello Oliveira defeats Yoislandy Izquierdo by Unanimous Decision (29-28×3)

UFC 148: Weigh-in Results

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Results

LAS VEGAS, NV – JULY 6: (L-R) Opponents Anderson Silva and Chael Sonnen face off during the UFC 148 weigh-in at the Mandalay Bay Events Center on July 6, 2012 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

The UFC 148 weigh ins took place today in Las Vegas, Nevada for the biggest UFC pay per view of the year. All fighters made weight for the event, and all bouts will take place as scheduled. The talk is over, the fight has been sold, and the only thing left for the fighters to do is fight. Things got animated in the stare down when Middleweight Champion Anderson Silva bumped into Chael Sonnen, and they were immediately separated. Below are the full weigh in results for UFC 148.

Middleweight Championship Title Bout
Anderson Silva 184 lbs
Chael Sonnen 185 lbs

Light Heavyweight
Forrest Griffin 204 lbs
Tito Ortiz 204 lbs

Middleweight
Cung Le 185 lbs
Patrick Côté 185 lbs

Welterweight
Dong Hyun Kim 170 lbs
Demian Maia 170 lbs

Featherweight
Chad Mendes 146 lbs
Cody McKenzie 145 lbs

Bantamweight
Ivan Menjivar 136 lbs
Mike Easton 135 lbs

Preliminary Card on FX
Lightweight
Gleison Tibau 155  lbs
Khabib Nurmagomedov 155 lbs

Lightweight
Melvin Guillard 155 lbs
Fabrício Camões 156 lbs

Middleweight
Constantinos Philippou 186 lbs
Riki Fukuda 185 lbs

Lightweight
John Alessio 156 lbs
Shane Roller 155 lbs

Preliminary Card on Facebook
Lightweight
Rafaello Oliveira  156 lbs
Yoislandy Izquierdo 156 lbs

UFC 148 Preview: By The Numbers

Written by MMARecap Staff on . Posted in Editorials

UFC 148 is just days away, and everyone is compiling all of the numbers to try and figure out just who really does have an advantage and who doesn’t. Our own John Petit compiled a list of all the important stats and numbers for this event to show just who is better where.

Chad Mendes vs Cody McKenzie
Two stats jump off the page right away in this featherweight battle: Mendes is coming in a huge favorite at -500 and McKenzie has a massive height and reach advantage. Mendes being the favorite isn’t that much of a surprise, especially considering the fact that his last fight was against Jose Aldo for the title. McKenzie’s height and reach will be a factor for Mendes as he stands six inches taller and has a six inch reach advantage. Mendes, a wrestler, typically grinds his opponents down with his dominant wrestling skills holding a 57% accuracy in his takedown attempts and never being taken down by any of his opponents. McKenzie doesn’t need to take his opponents down as he has one of the best defenses for a mistake from a takedown: his guillotine. It is no secret that McKenzie loves the submission and has been able to hit it from nearly anywhere winning twelve fights with the submission out of thirteen.

Dong Hyun Kim vs Demian Maia
Maia had a fairly successful run as a middleweight, even earning himself a title shot against Anderson Silva. But after losing his last fight to Chris Weidman, it was time to make a change and fight at welterweight. The odds makers aren’t sure what to do with this fight as it is very close to even with Kim coming in the slight favorite at -135. Kim not only holds a four inch reach advantage over Maia, his striking accuracy inside the octagon is greater than Maia’s. Maia does hold a slight edge in striking defense, but it isn’t at the same portion that separates the two while attacking. Maia’s strength lies in his ability to submit his opponent and that plays a reason why he sometimes gives up the takedown, so he can put his opponent in his world. Surprisingly, Kim has the edge when it comes to actual takedowns and has shown he is even more difficult to take down.

Cung Le vs Patrick Cote
Cote, another former middleweight title contender, is coming in the favorite over Le at -260. Neither fighter has a winning record inside the UFC, though for Le, he has only had one fight for the promotion. Le’s last five fights resulted in him winning 3 and dropping two, while Cote is 4-1 riding a four fight win streak into the fight. Le’s southpaw stance and ability to land spinning kicks, almost at will all play into is his slight edge in striking accuracy, but it’s also why he is so difficult to hit where he holds a major advantage over Cote in the defense department. Neither fighter has been known for their takedowns and even though Le is favored in both defending as well as completing his own takedowns, it shouldn’t be a factor in this fight. What will be a factor is Cote’s reach advantage and how he plans to use the five inch reach to keep Le on the outside.

Forrest Griffin vs Tito Ortiz
Ortiz is going to be inducted into the UFC Hall of Fame before the fight as this is likely his retirement fight. This will be the third time the two meet, each having won a previous encounter. Griffin is coming in the favorite at -320, likely due to the fact that while his last five he is sporting a losing record with 2-3, Ortiz’s record is worse at 1-4. Griffin holds an advantage in reach and takedowns, while Ortiz is able to land more punches than Griffin.

Anderson Silva vs Chael Sonnen
Silva is coming in the heavy favorite at -270 and should be. He holds the advantage in height, reach, streak, shorter fight time, striking accuracy and takedown accuracy. The two spots where Sonnen does hold an advantage, takedown defense and striking defense are by a slim margin. Silva has won fifteen straight fights, and holds the record for most successful title defenses and wins in the UFC. But one also should look at the numbers from the first fight. Sonnen was winning the fight for twenty-three minutes. He outland Silva in significant strikes 89 to 29 and landed 251 strikes to Silva’s head while Silva was only able to retaliate with 52 of his own. In the grappling department, Silva took Sonnen down a single time, while Silva was taken down three times with Sonnen attempting seven times. Once on the ground, Sonnen held the advantage in position and sweeps.

This article is based on the UFC by the numbers stat sheet compiled by John Petit. All stats and percentages are just for the Zuffa fights. To be added to his distribution list contact him on twitter @scream13 or at facebook.com/jmerrilpetit