Wow what a great event for us. We had a total of 5 bets with 4 being straight up bets and one parlay. We had a great feeling about a lot of the underdogs, and man did they perform. We ended up with a ROI of +100.46%. That was just slightly more than doubling our money we bet. Not bad. You can see our results at Cappertek. Also note that all of January we are making our bets free, but come February, we will be putting most of them behind the paywall at Cappertek. With a ROI of 100% on this event, it would be well worth the $6.95 for a single days access to get our picks.
So just how did the bets pan out? Our first bet was our 2 fight parlay with Rob Font and Ben Saunders both needing to be victorious. Saunders wound up on the wrong side of Cote’s heavy hands and went down in the second round. We had thought that Saunders’s reach was going to be a big factor, but Cote was able to nullify that. Font did win his portion of the parlay with a TKO victory over Joey Gomez, but this shows exactly why we typically don’t do parlay bets. We bet and lost 1 unit on this parlay.
The rest of our bets were on the main card. Travis Browne was our lone betting favorite on the night. After accidentally poking Mitrione twice in the eye, Browne landed a punch flush to the orbital socket of Mitrione. Mitrione’s eye swelled up very quickly and Browne capitalized on his hurt opponent scoring the TKO victory late in the third round. We bet 1.5 units on Browne at -150 odds for a ROI of 1 unit.
Francisco Trinaldo outworked Ross Pearson throughout most of the fight. The rounds were close, but Trinaldo was landing more and when the judges’s score cards were read there was no doubt we had won our bet. We bet 1 unit on Trinaldo with odds of +130 to profit 1.3 units.
The fight that scared us the most was Anthony Pettis taking on Eddie Alvarez. The blueprint was found on how to beat Pettis, grind him against the cage and go for takedown after takedown. This has now been proven true in three fights with Guida and dos Anjos also besting Pettis using the same methods. Alvarez had the game plan and stuck to it. The first round was very hard to judge and the final two were split between them. We thought Alvarez did enough in that first round to warrant a 29-28 scorecard and two judges agreed. We bet 1 unit at +275 to earn 2.75 units of profit.
The main event featured Domick Cruz fighting for a title he never truly lost against TJ Dillashaw. We had Cruz favored in this fight at +120 and risked 2 units on him. Cruz and Dillashaw both tried to use their footwork to outland their opponent with Dillashaw being the more aggressive fighter. But Cruz had zero fear in the cage and was just moving enough to get out of the way of most of Dillashaw’s strikes. Cruz while throwing fewer punches was landing far more. We had the fight 49-46 for Cruz and two judges agreed that Cruz won the fight. The split decision victory netted us 2.4 units.
The next card will be UFC on Fox 18. Look for our betting advice to come out shortly after the full fight odds to maximize our best bets.